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davidtrump

Forward Indicators: When the going is good don't stop : Consumers

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Consumer Sentiment
The University of Michigan overall Consumer Sentiment Index ran at its highest scores since 2001 throughout the year. The annual moving average in November of 98.17 was the best since June 2001.The measures for current conditions and six-month expectations were at 18 year and 13 year peaks respectively.

Consumer confidence as gauged by the Conference Board, a business group, reflected the same optimism. The 12 month moving average in November of 129.78 was the highest since April 2001. Early holiday sales were up 0.9% in the control group in November, the best in a year.   

Consumption will be aided by the more than one-third drop in the price of crude oil in the last quarter. The price of oil is expected to remain under pressure next year as the US becomes the world’s premier producer of energy.

fxstreet.com

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